ES7,691.25+0.38%Number: 7691.25 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed ES quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.NQ29,387.75+0.30%Number: 29387.75 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed NQ quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.CL87.06+0.26%Number: 87.06 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed CL quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.GC4,680.60+2.39%Number: 4680.6 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed GC quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.BTC77,265.08+0.25%Number: 77265.08 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed BTC quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.VIX15.13−5.50%Number: 15.13 quoted units, observed 2026-08-23T12:00:22.000Z. Source: Yahoo Finance, Latest delayed VIX quote; session change versus prior close. Formula: Δ% = (last / prior close − 1) × 100. Press i or Enter to inspect.

SNAPSHOT·Aug 23 07:00 CT

REGIME·SNAPSHOT PENDING

delayed

Evidence card · 2026-08-23

SPX +1-session posture-aligned hit rate

7.4%n=54

Median realized return -0.51%.

Source: Thesis scorecard JSON
Formula: Posture-aligned realized returns divided by observed returns, multiplied by 100. Method
Timestamp: 2026-08-23
Image: Open 1200 × 630 image

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